Commercial E-News
Commercial Research Data – What’s important

By Dave Geyer, CCIM David E. Geyer Real Estate

Hat’s off to Mr. Jim Martindale for his April Commercial E-News article on What’s Happening with Commercial Real Estate and Mr. Mike Rademaker for his June article on Property Manangement, both were insightful. I wish to dedicate this article to some basics involving commercial market data.

Residential practitioners extract the majority of their “comp” information from one or more Multiple listing services (”MLS”) data sources. The basic data - property attributes, listed and sale price, commission paid, days of market, etc. are supplied by Realtors to a MLS service that maintains and redistributes the sortable information to subscribers whom belong to a realtor board for a fee.

Relevant commercial data is a different animal. First, commercial practitioners (CP) are not required to be a member of any state (C.A.R.) or national (N.A.R.) organization. This is not to say many CP don’t belong to one or more professional organizations (CCIM, SIOR, etc.) which demonstrate expertise through satisfying relevant educational, performance and professional requirements, you just don’t have to be a member of a regional, state or national board, and therefore not mandated to participate with any data sources.

Next, commercial real estate involves many property types - retail, office, industrial, land, leased investments, and each type having a wide variety of differences. Due to the shear volume and complexity of commercial real estate, a single “commercial MLS” source did not exist until recent years. Commercial property data was for the most part internally generated and difficult to acquire. The larger commercial brokerages would employ and maintain their own research departments. These larger brokerages developed and maintained historical data based on information received from their own agent’s in-house activity and supplemented by data acquired from cooperating counter parts at other competitive brokerages and tax assessor records. Obviously, the amount of time and capital required for data collection and analysis is substantial, so this data is considered proprietary and rarely shared except for quarterly or annual reporting released to major media for recirculation.

So if you own or work for a smaller commercial concern, where do you get relevant data? You must buy it from other sources. There are many sources for commercial market data - , CoStar, AIR (American Industrial Real Estate Association), Loop Net, Black’s Guide, etc. with some data sources more reliable than others. Depending on what information you desire and how accurate it is, you can get some basic information for free, but for the most part, you get what you pay for. Comprehensive commercial property information, comparable lease and sale data, analytical reports, etc. are only available for fee.

Fast forward - with the tremendous amount of data available to a commercial practitioner, what’s really important? Trends!

Over the past year, negative news about the economy and more important, challenges in the real estate market are common place and continue to affect our livelihood. But in a recent Business Press article, some statistical commercial data provided by three of the larger commercial brokerages, Grubb & Ellis, Lee & Associates and Marcus & Millichap is worth highlighting:

   Inland Emp Wide Latest QTR   Prev QTR  Year Ago
 Other        
 Commercial  Office (1Q'09)  23.3%  2.7%  9.2%
 Vacancy Rates  Retail (1Q'09)  12.2%  5.4%  6.0%

According to the recent above data, both retail and office vacant space has more than doubled in the past year. As an active commercial broker in the Inland Empire West End, this market data confirms to me there is a tremendous surplus of every kind of commercial product, most offered with incentives, terms and rates unheard of for years, and there is no better time to locate and contract for that commercial requirement you are working on.

- Dave Geyer is a Certified Commercial Investment Member and REALTOR member of CVAR.

He is the Broker/Owner of David E. Geyer Real Estate commercial brokerage in Rancho Cucamonga
 
Date Posted: 7/8/2009
Number of Views: 377

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